Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 5-2
Bayern München vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1970 |
BYM
2 - 1
BRE
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1970 |
KOL
0 - 3
BYM
47%
24%
30%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1970 |
COV
2 - 1
BYM
39%
24%
38%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1970 |
BYM
3 - 0
S04
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
ROT
0 - 4
BYM
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
GAE
0 - 1
SPA
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
SPA
1 - 1
FEY
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1970 |
COL
1 - 2
SPA
28%
23%
49%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
UTR
1 - 1
SPA
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
SPA
0 - 0
HFC
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |