Bayern München vs SC Freiburg analysis

Bayern München SC Freiburg
99 ELO 90
9.3% Tilt 64.3%
General ELO ranking 35º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
78.3%
Bayern München
14.4%
Draw
7.3%
SC Freiburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
Bayern München
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.3%
Win probability
SC Freiburg
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayern München
-3%
-5%
SC Freiburg

Points and table prediction

Bayern München
Their league position
SC Freiburg
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
33
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
54
86
98.5%
B. Leverkusen
46
75
93.5%
RB Leipzig
33
62
42.5%
Eintracht Frankfurt
39
60
29.5%
Stuttgart
35
59
27.5%
B. Dortmund
11º
29
53
24%
SC Freiburg
33
51
17.5%
Wolfsburg
30
49
18%
B. Mönchengladbach
31
49
20%
Mainz 05
32
47
10º
18.5%
Werder Bremen
10º
30
45
11º
29.5%
FC Augsburg
12º
27
39
12º
36%
Union Berlin
13º
24
36
13º
34.5%
FC St Pauli
14º
21
33
14º
31.5%
Hoffenheim
15º
18
33
15º
33%
Heidenheim
16º
14
26
16º
35.5%
Holstein Kiel
17º
13
24
17º
41.5%
VfL Bochum
18º
11
22
18º
60.5%
Expected probabilities
Bayern München
SC Freiburg
Champion
98.5% 0%
Champions League
1.5% 7%
Europa League
0% 7.5%
Conference League knock out round
0% 12%
Mid-table
0% 73.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bayern München
SC Freiburg
Werder Bremen
B. Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC St Pauli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2024
WOL
Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
5%
10%
85%
98 88 10 0
20 Aug. 2024
BYM
Bayern München
4 - 0
Grasshopper
GCZ
86%
10%
4%
98 77 21 0
16 Aug. 2024
ULM
Ulm
0 - 4
Bayern München
BYM
4%
9%
88%
98 75 23 0
13 Aug. 2024
BYM
Bayern München
3 - 0
WSG Tirol
WAT
85%
11%
4%
98 78 20 0
10 Aug. 2024
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
15%
17%
69%
98 93 5 0

Matches

SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2024
SCF
SC Freiburg
3 - 1
Stuttgart
STU
32%
24%
45%
90 92 2 0
17 Aug. 2024
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
0 - 4
SC Freiburg
SCF
15%
21%
64%
89 70 19 +1
10 Aug. 2024
SCF
SC Freiburg
2 - 2
Fiorentina
FIO
43%
25%
33%
89 91 2 0
03 Aug. 2024
STR
Strasbourg
2 - 2
SC Freiburg
SCF
26%
24%
50%
89 83 6 0
26 Jul. 2024
SCF
SC Freiburg
2 - 2
Greuther Fürth
SGF
69%
18%
13%
89 78 11 0