Champions League Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Bayern München vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
54.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BYM
0 - 0
M05
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
BVB
1 - 0
BYM
29%
25%
47%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BYM
2 - 1
AUG
84%
11%
5%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
BYM
2 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FCN
0 - 1
BYM
9%
18%
72%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
RMA
3 - 1
SPO
95%
4%
1%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 4
RMA
12%
20%
68%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
RMA
0 - 0
VCF
89%
7%
3%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
RMA
5 - 2
APO
95%
4%
1%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 5
RMA
7%
18%
75%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | +1 |