Champions League Last 16
Global 1-2
Bayern München vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
BYM
1 - 0
HSV
68%
19%
14%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
RTV
1 - 0
BYM
24%
25%
51%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
BYM
3 - 1
HAN
74%
16%
10%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
AAA
2 - 1
BYM
17%
24%
59%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
EIN
1 - 1
BYM
16%
23%
61%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 4
RMA
15%
21%
64%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
RMA
1 - 1
VCF
67%
19%
14%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
SEV
1 - 0
RMA
21%
23%
56%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
RMA
2 - 1
MAL
84%
11%
5%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
RMA
2 - 0
SEV
82%
12%
6%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |