Champions League Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Bayern München vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 3
BYM
29%
25%
46%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
RMA
2 - 0
BYM
42%
25%
34%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
BYM
4 - 1
ROS
75%
15%
9%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
BVB
0 - 1
BYM
22%
24%
53%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
BYM
2 - 1
FCP
67%
20%
14%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2000 |
RMA
0 - 1
ALA
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
RMA
2 - 0
BYM
42%
25%
34%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
ESP
0 - 2
RMA
36%
25%
39%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
ESP
1 - 0
RMA
35%
26%
39%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
RMA
2 - 4
RAC
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |