Champions League Last 16
Global 3-0
Bayern München vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
STU
1 - 2
BYM
3%
9%
89%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BYM
3 - 0
FCU
81%
13%
6%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
BYM
5%
11%
84%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
PSG
0 - 1
BYM
12%
16%
72%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BYM
3 - 0
RTV
88%
9%
3%
|
96 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PSG
4 - 2
NAN
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
PSG
26%
22%
52%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PSG
4 - 3
LIL
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
PSG
0 - 1
BYM
12%
16%
72%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MON
3 - 1
PSG
26%
22%
53%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |