Bayern München vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ARB
0 - 1
BYM
17%
23%
60%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
SPB
1 - 1
BYM
20%
24%
56%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
BYM
2 - 1
WOL
70%
19%
12%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
STU
3 - 1
BYM
23%
25%
52%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2007 |
BYM
2 - 2
BOL
64%
22%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
MSV
1 - 0
FCN
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
LEV
4 - 1
MSV
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
MSV
0 - 2
RTV
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
KSC
1 - 0
MSV
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
BRE
4 - 0
MSV
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |