Bayern München vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
BYM
2 - 1
JUV
51%
25%
24%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
S04
1 - 1
BYM
25%
25%
50%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
BYM
2 - 0
WOL
76%
15%
9%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
BYM
1 - 0
BRU
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
HSV
2 - 0
BYM
21%
24%
55%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
MSV
0 - 1
EIN
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
HAN
1 - 1
MSV
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
MSV
1 - 0
FCN
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
HER
3 - 2
MSV
68%
19%
12%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
MSV
1 - 3
LEV
22%
23%
55%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |