Bayern München vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
BYM
4 - 1
SLB
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
HSV
4 - 1
BYM
53%
22%
25%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
BYM
3 - 2
EIN
79%
13%
8%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
SLB
0 - 0
BYM
52%
23%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
KOL
4 - 0
BYM
37%
25%
38%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
MSV
1 - 3
ARB
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
MON
4 - 2
MSV
74%
16%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
MSV
1 - 2
STU
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1981 |
MSV
3 - 0
PIR
82%
12%
6%
|
78 | 38 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1981 |
RTV
2 - 2
MSV
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |