Bayern München vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1977 |
F95
0 - 0
BYM
31%
23%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1977 |
BYM
5 - 3
BAY
99%
1%
0%
|
88 | 47 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1976 |
CRZ
0 - 0
BYM
54%
21%
25%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
BYM
10 - 1
TVU
98%
2%
0%
|
88 | 13 | 75 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
MON
1 - 0
BYM
54%
21%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1977 |
MSV
3 - 2
MON
26%
24%
50%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1977 |
MSV
1 - 2
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
MSV
4 - 0
KÖL
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1976 |
SAA
1 - 0
MSV
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1976 |
MSV
3 - 1
KSC
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |