Bayern München vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1975 |
HER
4 - 1
BYM
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1975 |
BYM
2 - 3
OFC
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
HSV
1 - 0
BYM
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
BYM
4 - 0
F95
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1974 |
RTV
3 - 0
BYM
21%
22%
57%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1975 |
S04
5 - 0
MSV
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1975 |
MSV
2 - 2
WUP
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1975 |
MSV
1 - 3
KOL
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
STU
2 - 1
MSV
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1974 |
MSV
1 - 3
HER
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |