Bayern München vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1968 |
BYM
4 - 0
NEU
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1968 |
VCF
1 - 1
BYM
56%
20%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1968 |
KSC
0 - 2
BYM
26%
22%
52%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1968 |
SSV
1 - 4
BYM
11%
16%
73%
|
85 | 37 | 48 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1968 |
KOL
3 - 3
BYM
49%
22%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1968 |
MSV
2 - 2
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1968 |
EIN
3 - 2
MSV
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1968 |
MSV
1 - 2
HSV
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1968 |
MSV
4 - 1
HAN
64%
20%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1968 |
NEU
2 - 1
MSV
29%
23%
48%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |