Bayern München vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
BYM
3 - 1
RMA
55%
22%
23%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 1
BYM
19%
21%
60%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
SLD
2 - 4
BYM
2%
9%
89%
|
93 | 11 | 82 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
KAI
1 - 1
BYM
4%
12%
84%
|
93 | 62 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
RBL
0 - 3
BYM
19%
21%
60%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
SPA
2 - 3
ACM
23%
26%
51%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ACM
2 - 0
FRO
76%
17%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
FIO
0 - 1
ACM
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
ACM
2 - 1
BOL
68%
21%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
TOR
2 - 0
ACM
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |