Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Bayern München vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BYM
1 - 1
HOF
84%
11%
5%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 0
BYM
51%
20%
29%
|
95 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 1
BYM
7%
13%
81%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
BYM
1 - 2
SCF
85%
11%
5%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BYM
4 - 2
BVB
70%
17%
13%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 1
LEI
86%
10%
4%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 0
BYM
51%
20%
29%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 4
MAC
8%
18%
75%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAC
4 - 1
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAC
6 - 0
BUR
89%
8%
3%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |