Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Bayern München vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
HAN
2 - 2
BYM
23%
24%
54%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
BYM
6 - 2
HSV
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
ROT
3 - 1
BYM
18%
23%
60%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
LIV
3 - 0
BYM
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1971 |
KAI
1 - 1
BYM
28%
24%
48%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
LIV
2 - 0
DER
64%
23%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
COV
1 - 0
LIV
40%
30%
31%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
LIV
3 - 0
BYM
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1971 |
WOL
1 - 0
LIV
45%
28%
27%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1971 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
57%
25%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |