Bayern München vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
BYM
2 - 1
BVB
60%
21%
19%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
BYM
2 - 1
HAN
74%
17%
10%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
BRE
2 - 0
BYM
35%
26%
39%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
DEP
2 - 1
BYM
51%
24%
25%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
BYM
3 - 3
HAN
74%
16%
11%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
STR
2 - 0
LEN
34%
28%
39%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
LEN
3 - 1
AUX
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
LEN
2 - 1
ACM
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
NIC
0 - 0
LEN
28%
28%
44%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
LEN
3 - 1
DEP
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | +1 |