Champions League Last 16
Global 6-2
Bayern München vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 3
BYM
3%
8%
89%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
BYM
4 - 2
BVB
71%
16%
13%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BYM
5 - 1
KOL
88%
9%
4%
|
96 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
LAZ
1 - 4
BYM
6%
12%
82%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
EIN
2 - 1
BYM
6%
11%
83%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
LAZ
3 - 2
CRO
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 1
LAZ
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 0
LAZ
23%
23%
54%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
LAZ
1 - 4
BYM
6%
12%
82%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LAZ
1 - 0
SAM
68%
18%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |