Europa League 1/32
Global 10-4
Bayern München vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
LEV
1 - 1
BYM
26%
26%
47%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1988 |
BYM
5 - 1
KAI
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1988 |
HSV
0 - 1
BYM
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1988 |
BYM
11 - 2
BWB
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1988 |
KSC
2 - 2
BYM
20%
25%
55%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
STA
1 - 2
WAR
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1988 |
WAR
3 - 0
GOR
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1988 |
WIS
1 - 1
WAR
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1988 |
WAR
0 - 0
SLA
62%
23%
14%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1988 |
JAS
1 - 1
WAR
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |