DFB Pokal Last 16
Global 6-1
Bayern München vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1971 |
BYM
2 - 0
ARB
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
BYM
1 - 1
LIV
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
HAN
2 - 2
BYM
23%
24%
54%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
ROT
3 - 1
BYM
18%
23%
60%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
BYM
6 - 2
HSV
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1971 |
OFC
2 - 2
KAI
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
ARB
2 - 1
KAI
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1971 |
HSV
5 - 2
KAI
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1971 |
KAI
0 - 1
MON
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1971 |
KAI
1 - 1
BYM
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |