DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 5-2
Bayern München vs Hessen Kassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
HES
2 - 2
BYM
22%
23%
55%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1970 |
SPA
1 - 3
BYM
32%
25%
43%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1970 |
BYM
2 - 1
MSV
82%
13%
6%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1970 |
EBT
1 - 1
BYM
24%
25%
51%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1970 |
BYM
2 - 1
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
HES
3 - 1
ORU
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
VFR
1 - 1
HES
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
HES
2 - 2
BYM
22%
23%
55%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
VIK
3 - 2
HES
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
FCN
3 - 0
HES
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |