Bayern München vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
STU
2 - 0
BYM
51%
23%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
BYM
2 - 1
RTV
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
BRE
1 - 1
BYM
40%
25%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
BYM
3 - 1
MON
45%
24%
32%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
BYM
4 - 5
OSN
86%
9%
5%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
HER
1 - 2
ARB
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
HER
2 - 0
DTB
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
EIN
2 - 2
HER
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
HER
1 - 1
S04
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
MSV
3 - 2
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |