Bayern München vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
3º
3º
42
8º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
BYM
2 - 1
GAL
87%
9%
4%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BVB
0 - 4
BYM
19%
19%
62%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SAA
2 - 1
BYM
1%
5%
95%
|
97 | 71 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BYM
8 - 0
DAR
87%
9%
4%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 3
BYM
4%
9%
87%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HEI
2 - 0
STU
28%
23%
49%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
MON
3 - 1
HEI
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
HEI
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HEI
2 - 5
AUG
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
HEI
0 - 1
SGF
54%
22%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |