Bayern München vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
WOL
1 - 3
BYM
26%
23%
51%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
BYM
3 - 0
M05
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 3
BYM
39%
24%
37%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
BYM
2 - 0
HOF
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
BYM
5 - 2
HER
75%
17%
9%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
ARB
2 - 1
SGF
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
SGF
1 - 0
COT
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
FSV
0 - 5
SGF
22%
25%
52%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
SGF
3 - 0
KAI
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
SGF
1 - 4
KSC
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |