Bayern München vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1973 |
BYM
1 - 1
KOL
76%
14%
10%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1973 |
OFC
0 - 3
BYM
23%
25%
52%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1973 |
BYM
5 - 1
RTV
90%
7%
3%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1973 |
F95
0 - 0
BYM
17%
24%
59%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
BYM
6 - 0
KAI
87%
9%
4%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1973 |
EBT
1 - 2
F95
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1973 |
F95
2 - 1
BRE
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1973 |
ROT
0 - 3
F95
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1973 |
F95
0 - 0
BYM
17%
24%
59%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
OFC
1 - 1
F95
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |