Bayern München vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
BYM
2 - 5
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
STB
0 - 1
BYM
19%
23%
58%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
KOL
0 - 3
BYM
17%
22%
62%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
BYM
4 - 1
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
BVB
1 - 1
BYM
20%
23%
56%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
M05
2 - 0
FCN
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
WEH
2 - 2
FCN
29%
27%
45%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
FCN
2 - 2
AAA
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
KAI
2 - 1
FCN
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
FCN
2 - 1
AUG
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |