Bayern München vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
HER
0 - 0
BYM
19%
24%
57%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
BYM
1 - 0
LEV
70%
18%
13%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
MON
1 - 3
BYM
15%
22%
63%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
BYM
3 - 2
M05
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
BYM
1 - 0
HSV
69%
19%
12%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
FCN
0 - 1
EIN
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
HAN
1 - 1
FCN
53%
22%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
FCN
2 - 1
HSV
24%
25%
50%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
EIN
1 - 1
FCN
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
HER
1 - 1
FCN
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |