Bayern München vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
TAT
1 - 1
BYM
22%
20%
59%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
ROT
3 - 1
BYM
15%
17%
68%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1966 |
BYM
4 - 3
MON
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
KSC
1 - 6
BYM
28%
22%
50%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
BYM
0 - 0
HAN
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
FCN
2 - 0
BVB
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
FCN
1 - 2
VCF
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1966 |
HSV
0 - 1
FCN
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
FCN
1 - 2
KAI
65%
19%
17%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
S04
1 - 0
FCN
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |