Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 6-2
Bayern München vs Baník Ostrava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90%
Win probability
3.79
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.3%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.7%
3.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
BYM
5 - 1
ARB
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
S04
2 - 2
BYM
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
BYM
3 - 2
F95
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
BVB
2 - 2
BYM
37%
24%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1981 |
BYM
1 - 1
KSC
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
BFC
1 - 1
BAN
94%
5%
2%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
BAN
0 - 0
BFC
17%
21%
62%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
BAN
1 - 0
IBV
84%
10%
6%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
IBV
1 - 1
BAN
23%
23%
53%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
DYN
2 - 0
BAN
73%
17%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |