Champions League Last 16
Global 6-2
Bayern München vs Baník Ostrava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.7%
Win probability
4.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.5%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.1%
5-0
8%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.6%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.5%
2.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
BYM
6 - 2
HSV
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
BRE
2 - 3
BYM
26%
23%
51%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
BAN
2 - 1
BYM
20%
21%
59%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
BYM
5 - 1
HSV
73%
17%
11%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
BYM
0 - 7
S04
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
BAN
2 - 1
BYM
20%
21%
59%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
BAN
2 - 0
VKG
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
VKG
2 - 1
BAN
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1975 |
MON
3 - 1
BAN
94%
4%
2%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1975 |
BAN
0 - 1
MON
15%
19%
67%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |