Bayern München vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
26
9º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 86 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 75 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 62 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 56 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 56 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 46 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 38 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 36 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
36.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
96% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
4% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
STP
0 - 1
BYM
3%
8%
89%
|
99 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
1 - 0
SLB
84%
11%
5%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
FCU
83%
12%
5%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
M05
0 - 4
BYM
5%
10%
86%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
RTV
0 - 5
BYM
4%
8%
88%
|
99 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
AUG
7 - 0
ING
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 0
HOF
31%
24%
46%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 1
AUG
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
AUG
3 - 0
S04
57%
22%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 1
BVB
10%
16%
74%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |