Champions League Last 16
Global 7-0
Bayern München vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
BYM
6 - 1
HSV
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1990 |
KOL
4 - 0
BYM
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
BYM
4 - 1
MON
76%
15%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1990 |
BYM
4 - 0
APO
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1990 |
BRE
1 - 0
BYM
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
LSO
0 - 1
CSK
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
CSK
0 - 2
LSO
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1990 |
CSK
3 - 0
KAA
87%
8%
5%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1990 |
CHB
1 - 1
CSK
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
CSK
1 - 0
ETA
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |