Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 5-6
Bayern München vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
BYM
2 - 1
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
CHL
4 - 2
BYM
54%
25%
22%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
WOL
0 - 3
BYM
22%
25%
53%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
BYM
3 - 1
ROS
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
S04
1 - 0
BYM
31%
26%
43%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CHL
1 - 1
BIR
77%
16%
7%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
CHL
4 - 2
BYM
54%
25%
22%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
SOU
1 - 3
CHL
17%
25%
57%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
CHL
4 - 1
CRY
75%
16%
9%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
CHL
1 - 0
WBA
80%
15%
6%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |