Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-3
Bayern München vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
BYM
4 - 2
EIN
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1984 |
F95
0 - 2
BYM
31%
24%
45%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
BYM
1 - 2
WAL
81%
13%
7%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
MOS
1 - 2
BYM
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
BYM
2 - 0
KOL
68%
18%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
BOT
0 - 0
LSO
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1984 |
CVA
0 - 0
BOT
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
DUN
1 - 1
BOT
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
ULU
1 - 1
BOT
29%
21%
50%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
BOT
4 - 0
ULU
86%
9%
6%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |