Bayern München vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
BYM
3 - 2
LEV
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
STU
3 - 0
BYM
30%
26%
45%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1987 |
BYM
3 - 2
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
BYM
3 - 0
KFC
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
BYM
2 - 0
NEX
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1987 |
BVB
3 - 0
BRU
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
BVB
2 - 3
HSV
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1987 |
LEV
2 - 2
BVB
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
BVB
2 - 2
STU
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
VEL
2 - 1
BVB
38%
22%
40%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |