Bayern München vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
MJO
0 - 4
BYM
17%
20%
63%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
BYM
7 - 1
S04
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
SAA
2 - 1
BYM
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
BYM
8 - 0
MJO
89%
8%
4%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
BYM
3 - 2
EBT
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1977 |
BVB
4 - 1
BRE
62%
21%
18%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1977 |
BVB
2 - 1
MSV
48%
23%
28%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
KOL
4 - 1
BVB
78%
13%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
BVB
1 - 2
F95
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
STP
3 - 6
BVB
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |