Bayern München vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1968 |
BRE
1 - 0
BYM
41%
23%
36%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1968 |
AAA
2 - 4
BYM
31%
23%
46%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1968 |
BYM
2 - 0
STU
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
EBT
2 - 3
BYM
32%
25%
43%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
BYM
2 - 2
MSV
68%
19%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1968 |
BVB
1 - 0
STU
64%
20%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1968 |
EBT
4 - 3
BVB
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1968 |
BVB
2 - 1
MSV
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
EIN
1 - 1
BVB
57%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
BVB
2 - 2
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |