Bayern München vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
11.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
S04
2 - 0
BYM
22%
24%
54%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BYM
4 - 1
EIN
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
ROM
3 - 2
BYM
36%
24%
39%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
LEV
1 - 1
BYM
28%
24%
49%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
BYM
3 - 0
FCN
77%
16%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 1
YOB
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
NEX
1 - 2
BAS
27%
23%
49%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 0
CLU
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
SER
1 - 1
BAS
17%
20%
63%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 3
THU
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | -1 |