Champions League Last 16
Global 3-1
Bayern München vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
BWB
1 - 1
BYM
21%
23%
56%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
EIN
0 - 0
BYM
20%
25%
55%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
BYM
3 - 2
RTV
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
BYM
0 - 0
PSV
62%
20%
18%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
BRE
1 - 1
BYM
43%
25%
33%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
AUS
1 - 1
GRA
82%
12%
7%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1986 |
EIS
1 - 5
AUS
20%
25%
56%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
SWA
2 - 4
AUS
47%
21%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
AUS
3 - 0
AVE
95%
4%
1%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
AUS
4 - 1
WIE
80%
13%
8%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |