Champions League Final
Global 5-1
Bayern München vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.79
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
4.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1974 |
BYM
1 - 0
OFC
85%
10%
5%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
HSV
0 - 5
BYM
20%
23%
57%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
BYM
4 - 0
RTV
89%
8%
4%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1974 |
BYM
3 - 0
UJP
92%
5%
3%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
STU
1 - 1
BYM
25%
23%
51%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1974 |
MAL
1 - 2
ATM
30%
32%
37%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
ATM
2 - 0
FCB
55%
24%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1974 |
ATM
2 - 0
CEL
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
ZAR
4 - 0
ATM
47%
27%
26%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1974 |
ATM
1 - 0
ATH
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |