Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Bayern München vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BYM
2 - 0
KOL
82%
12%
6%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 2
BYM
28%
21%
51%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HEI
3 - 2
BYM
4%
10%
86%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BYM
0 - 2
BVB
64%
19%
17%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DAR
2 - 5
BYM
4%
9%
87%
|
98 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 2
ASV
68%
19%
13%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 2
BYM
28%
21%
51%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BHA
0 - 3
ARS
21%
23%
56%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 0
LUT
84%
12%
5%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 0
ARS
70%
17%
12%
|
97 | 100 | 3 | 0 |