Bayern München vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
BYM
1 - 1
LIV
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
HAN
2 - 2
BYM
23%
24%
54%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
BYM
6 - 2
HSV
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
ROT
3 - 1
BYM
18%
23%
60%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
LIV
3 - 0
BYM
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
ARB
2 - 1
KAI
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
OFC
5 - 0
ARB
75%
16%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1971 |
HAN
2 - 0
ARB
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1971 |
ARB
1 - 1
HSV
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1971 |
MON
0 - 2
ARB
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | +2 |