Europa League 1/16
Global 5-2
Bayern München vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
BRE
1 - 4
BYM
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
BYM
1 - 2
KOL
53%
23%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
AGF
1 - 2
BYM
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
EIN
3 - 2
BYM
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
BYM
2 - 0
KAI
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
AGF
1 - 2
BYM
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
STA
0 - 1
AGF
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
AGF
1 - 1
STA
58%
21%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1965 |
CEL
2 - 0
AGF
66%
18%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
AGF
0 - 1
CEL
39%
22%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |