Bayern München vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
HER
1 - 1
BYM
46%
24%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1979 |
BYM
1 - 1
STU
59%
21%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
RTV
0 - 1
BYM
42%
25%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
BYM
4 - 0
BRE
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
MON
1 - 7
BYM
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
KOL
2 - 1
ARB
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
EIN
1 - 4
KOL
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
NTT
3 - 3
KOL
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
KOL
1 - 0
S04
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
MSV
2 - 1
KOL
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |