Regionalliga - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 4-2
Bayern Hof vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
BAY
0 - 0
GRO
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
JRE
1 - 2
BAY
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
DJJ
1 - 4
BAY
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BAY
3 - 0
WUR
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
WEI
1 - 3
BAY
56%
23%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
ING
5 - 3
VIK
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
VIK
2 - 2
UNT
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
VIK
1 - 0
NUR
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +3 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 0
VIK
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VIK
0 - 1
MEM
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |