Bayern Hof vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
8.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
BAY
3 - 4
STU
53%
23%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
SGF
3 - 0
BAY
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1976 |
BAY
1 - 1
FCN
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1976 |
BAY
2 - 1
BAY
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
EBK
1 - 2
BAY
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1975 |
VFB
0 - 6
S04
21%
20%
60%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
VFB
2 - 6
KOL
15%
17%
68%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
HEI
0 - 4
VFB
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1974 |
VFB
5 - 2
ITZ
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
FCP
2 - 4
VFB
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |