Bayern Hof vs TSV Kornburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
6º
14º
11º
14
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31.5% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 2
BAY
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 3
AMM
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 5
BAY
31%
22%
47%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 1
ELT
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
NEU
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Kornburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
ATS
2 - 0
KOR
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
2 - 1
NEU
48%
25%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 0
JRE
43%
25%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WUR
1 - 1
KOR
19%
20%
62%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
4 - 1
KOR
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |