Bayern Hof vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1976 |
REU
1 - 4
BAY
19%
24%
58%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1976 |
BAY
2 - 2
AUG
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1976 |
SCH
1 - 2
BAY
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
BAY
0 - 2
MUN
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
DAR
1 - 1
BAY
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1976 |
M05
1 - 3
AUG
77%
15%
9%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1976 |
MUN
1 - 3
M05
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1976 |
M05
6 - 1
FSV
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
SSV
3 - 3
M05
27%
24%
49%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
M05
1 - 0
PIR
60%
20%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |