Bayern Hof vs Ingolstadt 04 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
55%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
16º
16º
46
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 69 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 65 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 53 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 43 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 40 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 15 |
18º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 25.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 52% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
88.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
EIC
3 - 0
BAY
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
WEI
41%
25%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
3 - 1
BAY
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TSK
1 - 3
BAY
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ING
5 - 2
NEU
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ATS
1 - 3
ING
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ING
1 - 0
JRE
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WUR
0 - 1
ING
36%
23%
40%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ING
5 - 2
DJK
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +2 |