Bayern Hof vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1976 |
OFC
2 - 1
BAY
68%
18%
13%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
MUN
2 - 2
BAY
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
BAY
1 - 1
RVO
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
HOM
3 - 0
BAY
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
BAY
2 - 1
STU
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1976 |
FCN
1 - 1
MUN
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
RVO
0 - 2
FCN
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
FCN
2 - 1
HOM
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
STU
4 - 0
FCN
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1976 |
FCN
2 - 4
AUG
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |