Bayern Alzenau vs Viktoria Griesheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
5º
4º
33
5º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern Alzenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GIE
2 - 1
BAY
57%
22%
20%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 0
EIN
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCH
2 - 6
BAY
29%
21%
50%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 1
RWW
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
5 - 0
STE
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Griesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 3
DIE
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
3 - 0
VIK
42%
22%
37%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GIE
2 - 2
VIK
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 4
HSC
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 0
EIN
23%
21%
55%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |